30 November 2019

Trade Setup for 02.12.2019



  • On Friday Nifty and Bank Nifty closed negatively.
  • FII are net sellers about 1900 crs.
  • FII were shorting the index futures, (it is observed more shorting in index than longs)
  • They bought more puts than calls which is double the quantity, and wrote more calls than puts. which is bearish favorable at least in short term levels. 
  • Market likely to test the next major support zone which is at 31660 - 31600.
  • identified this level is major support because of CPR confluence in weekly and monthly.
  • any dip to these levels one should watch out for buying opportunity.
  • after the market hours GDP data came out, there were already a speculation that it will be below 5.  GDP Q on Q is at 4.5% lowest over six years. 
  • with this speculation market in November series made ATH. nothing but market is already priced in.
  • RBI MPC decision is on 5th Dec, there is a speculation that there will be one more rate cut, ahead of MPC decision market likely to be volatile in the upcoming week.
  • Bank Nifty daily CPR narrowed when compared to yesterdays CPR. 
  • Nifty and Bank nifty likely to open negatively on Monday.
  • Bank nifty to sustain 31660 - 31600 this level before making new highs. so looking for buying opportunity at this level. 
  • Bank nifty monthly CPR also narrowed a bit compared to previous month, and it is observed that making higher highs, which indicates there still bullish sentiment in the long term perspective.
  • Bank nifty resistance level is at 32090 which is yesterdays high. it should sustain this level before making new highs.
  • In the upcoming week, bank nifty likely to trade between 32150 - 31600 levels. 
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI register advisior, The above trade setup is purely based on my own study and analysis. i am not giving suggestions to buy / sell specific options. please consult your financial advisors / do the due diligence before taking any trade.

28 November 2019

Trade setup for 29.11.2019



Trade setup for 29.11.2019
  • Today Nifty and Bank Nifty closed near ATH.
  • FII's continue to be buying mode. yesterday they were net buyers approx 1000 crs.
  • Bank Nifty Daily CPR making higher highs and width of the tomorrows CPR increased compared to today's CPR width. 
  • Bank Nifty weekly CPR as well making higher highs and width of the 05.12. expiry week CPR increased drastically compared to Nov weekly expiry 28.11.
  • BNF closing price (32122) is greater than daily central pivot (32060) and also weekly central pivot (31780).
  • Put Open interest increased significantly compared to call in both Nifty and Bank Nifty weekly expiry.
  • PCR in Nifty is at 1.65 and PCR in BNF is at 1.37
  • Looking at CPR data weekly, daily, and PCR data suggest we are in bullish trend (Preceding some cool off today expected). 
  • Buy on dip strategy to be followed, preferably when price comes near to CPR level.
  • First immediate support is 32060 followed by yesterdays low.
  • First resistance is at 32250 followed by 32300.
  • If there is a gap up, price may try to reach toward daily central pivot (Magnet Trade). if it sustain on closing basis in first 15 mins (around CPR levels 32092 to 32031) then buy this dip. 
  • India VIX is also down below 14 which is low, so the option premium will be low. 
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI register advisior, The above trade setup is purely based on my own study and analysis. i am not giving suggestions to buy / sell specific options. please consult your financial advisors / do the due diligence before taking any trade.